Ok, I was watching the New York Giants actually beating the New England Patriots last night. I felt a glimmer of hope for humanity and even the housing market by seeing the extra effort being played in a game that means nothing to the Giants playoff spot while the Patriots vied for an undefeated season. Of course the Giants lost and my optimism for the housing (and humanity) market dimmed.

With the housing market weakening in many markets, its easy to pile on with “grim” news. Here are a few attempts at contrarian reporting from sources other than the NAR.

Daniel McGinn at Newsweek provides some optimism in his article: Housing Optimism: Why the year in real estate wasn’t all bad news.

  • Some Numbers Are Strong
  • Things Aren’t Tough All Over
  • Long-Term Owners Are Still Way Ahead
  • Even Pessimists Admit to Uncertainty

Holden Lewis at Bankrate makes a defense of low-doc loans (sort of) by responding to a reader’s optimistic response to his quote: “Limited-doc mortgages exist mostly to allow people to cheat on their taxes” (I wholeheartedly agree with the cheating angle Holden mentions):

  • Lenders sold themselves on convenience
  • Inexperienced underwriters suffered a mental “blue screen of death” when confronted with complex tax returns, because they’re trained to process loans assembly-line style.

Megan McArdle of Atlantic Monthly in her post Who cheated who? she:

  • Questions whether bankers are to blame
  • Believes subprime borrowers will not default en masse
  • Feels we are over reacting and that will cause more problems

Felix Salmon of Seeking Alpha in his post Are Subprime Losses Being Exaggerated? sort of teases us with this title but he’s really questioning the optimistic stance of many:

  • Middle-class homeowners out there suffering under the burden of enormous non-recourse mortgages
  • Its not just losses of subprime mortgages, its industries ranging from homebuilders to diswasher manufacturers

Confused? Join the rest of humanity – you’re not alone.


Tags: , , , , ,


One Response to “Inside Football: Optimistic Contrarian Views On Housing”

  1. […] Samuel Miller is a Manhattan real estate appraiser, contributer to Newsweek and well read online voice in the online real estate community. Here is a recent post from his “Matrix” blog. […]