At first glance, the headline on coverage of the annual State of the Nation’s Housing report issued today by Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies:
…and an Ivy League degree will get you a ham sandwich:
Ok thats way too harsh, but in reality, job creation is THE important point – since we lost sight of that during the credit/housing boom (when consumers didn’t need to have a job to get a mortgage). In other words, job creation will be needed to carry the torch from the federal tax credit stimulus. Job creation as an offset to the rising foreclosure problem is the key.
Even as the worst housing market correction in more than 60 years appeared to turn a corner in 2009, the fallout from sharply lower home prices and highunemployment continued. Byyear’s end, about one in sevenhomeowners owed more ontheir mortgages than their homeswere worth, seriously delinquentloans were at record highs, and foreclosures exceeded twomillion. Meanwhile, the share ofhouseholds spending more thanhalf their incomes on housing waspoised to reach new heights asincomes slid. The strength of job growth is now key to how quickly loan distress subsides and how fully housing markets recover.
Right now, feedback I’m being in various housing markets across the US suggests home sales are falling sharply in the post-stimulus housing world.
We’d better get back to work.
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Jonathan Miller is President and CEO of Miller Samuel Inc., a real estate appraisal and consulting firm he co-founded in 1986. He is a state-certified real estate appraiser in New York and Connecticut, performing court testimony as an expert witness in various local, state and federal courts. He holds the Counselors of Real Estate (CRE) and Certified Relocation Professional (CRP) designations. He is an Appraiser “A” Member of the Real Estate Board of New York and a member of Relocation Appraisers and Consultants, Inc.
You'll be able to choose from an array of robust housing metrics compiled using research developed during the preparation of our market report series. Expanded significantly from prior offerings, use this resource to build charts and custom data tables or leverage your own information for more powerful research and presentations.
In the meantime, here is a small sample of the aggregated data we will provide.
“Miller Samuel CEO Jonathan Miller holds the key to the luxury real estate market.” –Deirdre Bolton, Anchor, Fox Business
“Our sherpa in the land of broker euphemism for the current state of the housing market.” –New York Observer
“A Curbed reader goes all 'Jonathan Miller' on us.” –Curbed New York
“Jonathan Miller of Miller Samuel is a NYC real estate "cultural icon."” –Katherine Clarke, New York Daily News
“Jonathan is considered the 'dean of appraising' in the industry.” –Donna Olshan, President, Olshan Realty Inc.
“In this ever changing NYC market, Jonathan’s reports give me an accurate snapshot at any given time.” –John Gomes, The Eklund Gomes Team / Douglas Elliman Real Estate
“Jonathan Miller, the appraiser who is the savviest observer of the local residential market.” –Crain’s New York Business
“Jonathan Miller is 'one of the most important people in real estate.'” –Elizabeth Ann Stribling-Kivlan, President, Stribling & Associates
“Jonathan Miller’s blog Matrix. Completely Keanu Reeves-free real estate economics, not for beginners.” –Curbed San Francisco
“Should we have seen this coming?...I spoke to appraiser Jonathan Miller 3 years ago.” –Jane Wells, CNBC
“Jonathan Miller is an incredible real estate analyst, a true Rockstar on NYC metro luxury markets.” –Ivy Zelman, CEO, Principal, Zelman & Associates
“Then there is Miller’s authority in residential appraisals.” –Reuters
“Jonathan Miller: He's the guy with 'boots on the ground' when it comes to real estate.” –Tom Keene: Bloomberg TV, Surveillance
“Matrix: One of the top five U.S. real estate blogs.” –Inman News
“Check out Superstar Appraiser Jonathan Miller’s blog Matrix for the latest in depth information on NYC housing.” –Urban Digs
“Somebody-explain-this-crazy-market-to-me guy Jonathan Miller.” –Curbed New York
“Jonathan Miller delivers real estate news in language even a blogger can understand.” –Curbed DC
“Jonathan Miller...one of the nation’s most prominent appraisers.” –Money Magazine
“In the real estate world, Jonathan Miller is where street-smart meets book-smart.” –Jed Kolko, Chief Economist, Trulia
“Jonathan Miller: the true God of real estate data.” –Fredrik Eklund, The Eklund Gomes Team / Bravo’s MDLNY
“Jonathan Miller, Go-To Appraiser. Appraising the state of real estate.” –Barry Ritholtz 'Masters in Business,' Bloomberg Radio
“Jonathan Miller is 'a complete pro, a shining star in the real estate industry.'” –Donna Olshan, President, Olshan Realty Inc.
“A web site 'worth visiting.'” –Realtor Online Magazine
“Jonathan...understands how to take numbers and explain them to people in a way that makes sense.” –Dottie Herman, President and CEO, Douglas Elliman
“Jonathan Miller delivers the unflinching and un-fluffy truth about an industry he knows inside out.” –Teri Rogers, Brick Underground
“His prescient 2012 declaration that “luxury real estate is the new global currency” was repeated as gospel...” –New York Post
“Renowned appraiser and [Matrix] real estate blogger, Miller is a statistical wizard. Can dodge bullets in slow-mo.” –Real Estate Tomato
“Miller is the best real estate blogger out there.” –Bankrate
“Jonathan Miller, the go-to expert on all residential real estate figures.” –Crain’s New York Business
“His market reports are to the Manhattan housing market what those brackets are to the NCAA Tournament.” –New York Observer
“Jonathan Miller is a master of his craft...we are lucky to have him as an advocate for appraisers.” –Phil Crawford, ‘Voice of Appraisal’ Radio Show
“Jonathan Miller, owner of New York City’s Miller Samuel and one of the nation’s most prominent appraisers” –Money Magazine
“A combination of Godzilla, King Kong, and Hurricane Katrina all wrapped up in one as he wreaked havoc on the housing market.” –New York Sun
“If market guru Jonathan Miller said it, it must be true.” –Stuart Elliott, Editor-In-Chief, The Real Deal
“Why is Jonathan Miller’s Matrix required reading? …He grabs you right from the start.” –New York Times
“Miller is arguably the most influential voice in residential property valuation markets today.” –Altos Research
“Jonathan Miller, the most popular guy on the block when talking about real estate in New York.” –Tom Keene, Bloomberg Radio
“Jonathan Miller, President of Miller Samuel and real-estate savant.” –Curbed Miami
“Jonathan Miller: One of the best finance people on Twitter.” –Business Insider
“Jonathan Miller is the DJ Khaled of real estate.” –Stefanos Chen, New York Times
“Miller’s more than 20 years of real estate experience comes out in this no-nonsense blog.” –Seeking Alpha
“Jonathan Miller: One of the most famous appraisers in America today.” –Phil Crawford, 'Voice of Appraisal' Radio Show
“Jonathan Miller, the demigod of New York real estate stats.” –New York Observer
“Jonathan Miller is one of the icons of the real estate industry.” –Real Estate Board of New York
“The oracle of New York City real estate: Jonathan Miller.” –Amir Korangy, Publisher, The Real Deal
“Jonathan Miller, an appraiser dubbed 'the Wikipedia of Manhattan real estate.'” –Barrons
“Our man Jonathan Miller drops the truth bomb.” –Barry Ritholtz, The Big Picture Blog
“Jonathan Miller: Best online real estate expert.” –Money Magazine
“Jonathan Miller—the data whisperer” –Brick Underground
“Expert Appraiser Jonathan Miller: New York City’s Real Estate Data Wizard” –Epoch Times
“JM makes real estate stats talk in language that normal people understand.” –Teri Rogers, Brick Underground
“When it comes to markets trends, nobody knows the multiple NYC real estate markets better than Jonathan Miller.” –John L. Heithaus, CSO, Buyside
“Jonathan Miller: The man who knows.” –Real Estate Weekly
“Jonathan Miller...Manhattan’s most revered independent appraisers of residential property.” –Daily Telegraph (UK)
“"Between the Bricks" Columnist gives a 2016 Data Brick to Jonathan Miller for keeping the industry honest.” –Lois Weiss, New York Post
“It’s tough to find the good guys..Fortunately we found one. His name is Jonathan Miller.” –Glenn Beck, CNN
“Jonathan is a legend, one of the most quoted appraisers and experts in the industry.” –Dottie Herman, President and CEO, Douglas Elliman
“If New York real estate is a sport, one of its most prominent score keepers is Jonathan Miller.” –New York Daily News
“His quarterly reports on the New York City-area market is considered required reading among real estate professionals.” –Reuters
“New York real estate maven Jonathan Miller.” –Slate
“Jonathan Miller is well-known for taking the pulse of Manhattan real estate.” –PBS Nightly Business Report
“Market Analyst Jonathan Miller: Thank the Flying Spaghetti Monster he's on our side.” –Curbed Miami
“Jonathan Miller is the most trusted (and quoted) man in New York real estate.” –New York Observer
“Jonathan Miller: One of the top 25 most influential U.S. real estate bloggers.” –Inman News
'Three Cents Worth' column 3CW ('05-'16)
When Curbed was acquired by Vox, my eleven years of 3CW chart art and column links were broken on Curbed NY, Curbed DC, Curbed Miami, Curbed Hamptons, Curbed LA, and Curbed Ski.
Many of my 3CW charts can be found here:
Curbed 3CW Full Chart Archive
As I’ve chronicled in the Appraiserville section of my Housing Notes newsletter since 2016, the scale of Appraisal Institute bureaucratic self-dealing of the executive committee and some members of the AI Board of Directors is breathtaking. Over the past decade… Read More